On Friday afternoon, supporters of John Lee gathered for what his adviser described as a preelection rally, a ultimate push in Lee’s marketing campaign to safe victory within the election to be Hong Kong’s subsequent chief government.
Don’t let the vocabulary idiot you. No members of most people attended Lee’s occasion, a stage-managed flourish to a weeks-long present masquerading as a contest. He didn’t really must win them over; he wanted solely the help of simply over 750 vetted Beijing loyalists in a metropolis of some 7.5 million. In any occasion, he ran unopposed and in the present day, the day of the “vote,” he’ll win.
Like many Hong Kong establishments which might be being hollowed out to suit the wants of the town’s new political regime, a excessive significance has been positioned on maintaining appearances surrounding the election. Although Hong Kong has by no means had full democracy and the choice for the chief government, the town’s prime job, has all the time been the realm of a selected few, this 12 months is much more restricted. Thus, Lee and the Hong Kong authorities have spent the previous few weeks partaking in an elaborate charade to make sure that his elevation maintained a patina of legitimacy.
On most days, Lee, the previous No. 2 official within the authorities, would meet with quite a lot of pro-Beijing curiosity teams and hand-selected metropolis residents, with readouts and posed photographs rapidly uploaded to his social-media platforms. A couple of instances every week, he would descend from his marketing campaign workplace in Central Plaza, a high-rise awash in early-Nineties gaudiness within the downtown Wan Chai neighborhood, through a gold-accented escalator into the constructing’s foyer, the place a small gaggle of journalists would ask him questions and snap photos.
Throughout one latest briefing I attended, he was tough to listen to over the din within the marble foyer, the place workplace employees went about their day, with just a few stopping to be aware of Lee’s presence. A supply driver nonetheless sporting his motorbike helmet got here down the escalator as Lee was talking and continued tapping his cellphone, seemingly unaware of the long run metropolis chief. The federal government, in the meantime, has carried on as if it have been getting ready to carry a traditional election, issuing releases and organizing press conferences, detailing its work readying to gather and tally what will likely be fewer than 1,500 ballots. Town’s anti-corruption watchdog is sending 80 screens to observe the polls. To not be outdone, police say they are going to deploy as much as 7,000 officers to make sure that issues run easily. At Friday’s rally, supporters bought onstage in teams of three, taking turns to lavish Lee with reward whereas he sat within the viewers trying on.
Over the course of the “marketing campaign,” Lee’s interactions with most people have been practically nonexistent. As an alternative, one after the other over the previous few weeks, Hong Kong’s elite—getting old tycoons, teachers, and businesspeople—have pledged their help for Lee. These most desirous to curry favor with the soon-to-be chief hurried to his marketing campaign headquarters early within the choice train, posing exterior his workplace in entrance of a cerulean poster that includes the town skyline. Lee generally stood subsequent to them, his face typically contorted in a pained smile and his outstretched arm flashing a thumbs-up. He didn’t but have a platform or any detailed insurance policies. That didn’t matter. (Lee’s skinny manifesto was launched solely 9 days earlier than the vote.) Lee’s cadence of speech is peculiar and prodding, and all through the marketing campaign, he was neither charismatic nor significantly keen about his anointed position. That didn’t matter both. As an alternative, when Lee spoke, he projected the boldness of an unprepared job applicant who’d fudged his résumé and unexpectedly landed an undeserved interview, continuously trotting out the road that he can be “outcomes oriented.” That—you doubtless guessed—didn’t matter in any respect.
What did matter—the one factor that ever mattered—was that Lee had the backing of Beijing.
Eager to have a clean and wholly uncompetitive election, Beijing’s officers in Hong Kong made it clear from the beginning that Lee was the one possibility. He’d beforehand headed the vetting committee for the town’s legislature, personally making certain that every one candidates, together with those that are among the many choose few who can solid ballots this time round, have been sufficiently loyal and “patriotic.” If elections are horse races, Lee’s is a dressage present of 1—involving a single candidate obediently dancing a tightly choreographed routine in entrance of a panel of judges.
One of many solely points of Lee’s choice course of that has resembled a democracy has been the bare jockeying by these keen to attain factors and maybe positions in his administration. Lots of the folks providing effusive reward to Lee have been just a few weeks in the past infuriated by the federal government’s inept dealing with of Hong Kong’s newest pandemic wave, which has left our bodies piled in hospitals and frail, aged sufferers mendacity exterior them. Judy Chan, a lawmaker from the pro-Beijing New Individuals’s Get together, was extremely crucial of the Hong Kong authorities’s pandemic response. “I don’t assume the federal government had any preparation for this,” she instructed me in late February, across the time when Hong Kong had the very best COVID-19 fatality fee on the planet. Chan laughed once I requested her if she thought Chinese language President Xi Jinping—Lee’s final boss—was pleased with the town’s actions. “In fact, not so happy,” she mentioned. However, her get together met with Lee final month and, after a brief dialogue, pledged its help.
Certainly, Lee’s ascendance to the publish of chief government has been such a foregone conclusion that it’s extra attention-grabbing to ask why he would need the job in any respect. (There was a full of life debate on-line over what precisely to name his marketing campaign and election, given the bizarre circumstances.) Since Britain handed Hong Kong over to China in 1997, 4 folks have held the publish, and all 4 struggled immensely with the duty of balancing the needs and wishes of Hong Kongers with the calls for of Beijing. The primary stepped down after monumental protests. The following landed in jail after his time period completed. The one which adopted was deeply disliked, triggered much more protests, and was not allowed to run once more, giving method to the present chief government, Carrie Lam. Her stubbornness and egotism helped kick-start and lengthen the huge prodemocracy protests of 2019. These set in movement lots of the adjustments which have swept Hong Kong, most notably Beijing’s imposition of a draconian national-security legislation in 2020. When Lam leaves workplace in a few months and formally arms the reins to Lee, Hong Kong will likely be drastically much less free, much less democratic, much less open, and extra just like the mainland than when she started her time period.
Lee, a former police officer, served because the secretary for safety in the course of the 2019 protests, overseeing the response from police that left the power’s popularity in tatters and fueled big public anger. Lee was then promoted to chief secretary for administration, the town’s No. 2 place. His title started to floor earlier this 12 months as a severe contender for chief government, initially talked about alongside a handful of others, together with the monetary secretary, Paul Chan; the previous police commissioner Chris Tang; and the earlier head of the World Well being Group, Margaret Chan. Lee’s safety background at a time when Beijing feels threatened on a number of fronts, and his lack of non-public connections to the town’s ultra-wealthy energy brokers, seems to have made him fascinating in Beijing’s eyes.
His marketing campaign has attracted minimal curiosity from the general public, and, maybe consequently, he has managed to keep away from making a lot actual information in any respect. There are just a few banners together with his face across the metropolis. Some posters hanging in subway stations remind folks—the vast majority of whom should not eligible to vote—that Might 8 is “Chief Government Election Polling Day.” Protection of the primary day of his marketing campaign was largely pushed off the entrance pages by the arrest of a longtime journalist. Opposition figures who previously could have questioned or prodded Lee are virtually all in jail or have retreated from politics. Essentially the most consideration he has garnered was when YouTube shut down his channel, citing concern over U.S. sanctions: Like Lam, Lee was sanctioned for his position in placing down the 2019 demonstrations and for the actions that adopted.
A former pro-Beijing lawmaker concerned in previous chief-executive elections instructed me that he noticed the present choice course of as a return to Hong Kong’s colonial rule, a interval throughout which a governor was appointed from London with no say from the native inhabitants. “In these days, they simply despatched a governor over, and these days they simply have one candidate, and that’s the most well-liked candidate of Beijing,” he instructed me, talking on situation of anonymity due to the present political local weather. Hong Kong’s reengineered legislature, now devoid of opposition, would work to help Lee, as a result of lawmakers know that he speaks instantly for Beijing. “I might really name this,” he mentioned, “merely an appointment system.”